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NLD Holandsko - Eredivisie · Zápas ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich20%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí58%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac73% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
20% / 22% / 58%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)Dvojitá šancaX280.3%1.25
Viac 73% · Menej 27%Goals 2.5Viac73%1.37
Áno 68% · Nie 32%Oba tímy skórujúÁno68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Domáci share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 73% · Menej 27%

PSV2.47

Hostia share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Výhra probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior výhra 20%,Remíza 22%,PSV výhra 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Viac 2.5 73% · Current selection Viac