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NLD Países Baixos - Eredivisie · Partida ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa20%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante58%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima73% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
20% / 22% / 58%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)Dupla ChanceX280.3%1.25
Acima 73% · Abaixo 27%Goals 2.5Acima73%1.37
Sim 68% · Não 32%Ambas as equipes marcamSim68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Empate22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Mandante share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 73% · Abaixo 27%

PSV2.47

Visitante share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 68% · Não 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior ganhou 20%,Empate 22%,PSV ganhou 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Acima 2.5 73% · Current selection Acima