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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 30% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Dubbelchans1269.9%1.43
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Ilkeston Town win38%2.63
Oavgjort30%3.33
Stockton Town win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Hemma share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Borta share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 30%,Stockton Town vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under