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ENG Англия - Северная Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Илкестон vs Стоктон Таун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ИлкестонСтоктон Таун
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 30% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Двойной шанс1269.9%1.43
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Илкестон win38%2.63
Ничья30%3.33
Стоктон Таун win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Илкестон1.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Стоктон Таун1.08

Гости share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Илкестон

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Стоктон Таун

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
ИлкестонСтоктон Таун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Илкестон signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стоктон Таун signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Илкестон vs Стоктон Таун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Илкестон выигрыш 38%,Ничья 30%,Стоктон Таун выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше