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ENG Англия - Северна Висша лига · Мач ·

Илкестън Таун vs Стоктън Таун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен30%
Победа за госта32%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Илкестън ТаунСтоктън Таун
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 30% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Двоен шанс1269.9%1.43
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Илкестън Таун win38%2.63
Равен30%3.33
Стоктън Таун win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Илкестън Таун1.28

Домакин share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

Стоктън Таун1.08

Гост share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Илкестън Таун

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Стоктън Таун

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Илкестън ТаунСтоктън Таун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Илкестън Таун signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стоктън Таун signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Илкестън Таун vs Стоктън Таун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Илкестън Таун печеливш 38%,Равен 30%,Стоктън Таун печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под