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ENG Inglaterra - Northern Premier League · Partido ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 27% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doble Oportunidad1272.7%1.38
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStockton Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ilkeston Town win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Stockton Town win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Local share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town ganada 38%,Empate 27%,Stockton Town ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de