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ENG Engeland - Northern Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 30% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Dubbele Kans1269.9%1.43
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Ilkeston Town win38%2.63
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Stockton Town win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Uit share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 30%,Stockton Town gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder