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ENG England Northern Premier League · Kamp ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier38%
Uavgjort30%
Borteseier32%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
38% / 30% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Dobbel sjanse1269.9%1.43
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Ilkeston Town win38%2.63
Uavgjort30%3.33
Stockton Town win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Borte share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town vunnet 38%,Uavgjort 30%,Stockton Town vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under