MatchFormula Nájsť zápas
Menu
UTC+8
Časové pásmoAsia/Shanghai
Slovenčina
ENG Anglicko - Premier League · Zápas ·

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.49 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich15%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí61%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Aston VillaArsenal
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
15% / 24% / 61%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aston Villa win (15.3%)Dvojitá šancaX284.7%1.18
Viac 45% · Menej 55%Goals 2.5Menej55%1.82
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.49 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aston Villa win15%6.676.2515%0.0 pp
Remíza24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
Arsenal win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aston Villa0.84

Domáci share of expected goals 33.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 45% · Menej 55%

Arsenal1.65

Hostia share of expected goals 66.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Arsenal

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Výhra probability excluding draw
61%
7
Points from supplied form
15
0.84
Expected goals
1.65
Aston VillaArsenal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aston Villa signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arsenal signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Aston Villa vs Arsenal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aston Villa výhra 15%,Remíza 24%,Arsenal výhra 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Viac 2.5 45% · Current selection Menej