Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
15% / 24% / 61%Esito partitaVittoria ospite61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aston Villa win (15.3%)Doppia ChanceX284.7%1.18
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.49 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2——
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aston Villa win15%6.676.2515%0.0 pp
Pareggio24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
Arsenal win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 33.7%
Total expected goals2.49Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%
Trasferta share of expected goals 66.3%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitSì 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAston Villa
LWWDL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchArsenal
WWWWW
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
15%
Vinta probability excluding draw
61%7
Points from supplied form
150.84
Expected goals
1.65Aston VillaArsenal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Aston Villa vs Arsenal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aston Villa vinta 15%，Pareggio 24%，Arsenal vinta 61%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.49 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto。