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ENG Anglia - Premier Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.49 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem15%
Döntetlen24%
Vendég győzelem61%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Aston VillaArsenal
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
15% / 24% / 61%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aston Villa win (15.3%)Dupla esélyX284.7%1.18
Felett 45% · Alatt 55%Goals 2.5Alatt55%1.82
Igen 46% · Nem 54%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem54%1.85
2.49 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
9.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aston Villa win15%6.676.2515%0.0 pp
Döntetlen24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
Arsenal win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aston Villa0.84

Hazai share of expected goals 33.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 45% · Alatt 55%

Arsenal1.65

Vendég share of expected goals 66.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 46% · Nem 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Arsenal

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalVendég unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Nyert probability excluding draw
61%
7
Points from supplied form
15
0.84
Expected goals
1.65
Aston VillaArsenal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aston Villa signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arsenal signalVendég unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Aston Villa vs Arsenal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aston Villa nyer 15%,Döntetlen 24%,Arsenal nyer 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · 2.5 felett 45% · Current selection Alatt