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アストンヴィラ vs アーセナル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.49 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利15%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利61%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利61% selection probability
Projected score1–2アストンヴィラアーセナル
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
15% / 24% / 61%試合結果アウェイ勝利61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アストンヴィラ win (15.3%)ダブルチャンスX284.7%1.18
オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%Goals 2.5アンダー55%1.82
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.49 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アストンヴィラ win15%6.676.2515%0.0 pp
引き分け24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
アーセナル win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アストンヴィラ0.84

ホーム share of expected goals 33.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%

アーセナル1.65

アウェイ share of expected goals 66.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アストンヴィラ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アーセナル

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
勝ち probability excluding draw
61%
7
Points from supplied form
15
0.84
Expected goals
1.65
アストンヴィラアーセナル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アストンヴィラ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アーセナル signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

アストンヴィラ vs アーセナル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アストンヴィラ 勝ち 15%,引き分け 24%,アーセナル 勝ち 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · オーバー 2.5 45% · Current selection アンダー