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CHL Чили - Терсера · Матч ·

Наваль Талькауано vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Наваль ТалькауаноClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 25% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Aguara win (22.9%)Двойной шанс1X77.1%1.30
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapНаваль Талькауано winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Наваль Талькауано win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Club Aguara win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Наваль Талькауано1.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Гости share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Наваль Талькауано

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Наваль ТалькауаноClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Наваль Талькауано signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Наваль Талькауано vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Наваль Талькауано выигрыш 52%,Ничья 25%,Club Aguara выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше