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CHL Chile - Tercera · Meci ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde52%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți23%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
52% / 25% / 23%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Aguara win (22.9%)Șansă dublă1X77.1%1.30
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNaval Talcahuano winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval Talcahuano win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp
Egal25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Club Aguara win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Gazde share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Câștig probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano câștig 52%,Egal 25%,Club Aguara câștig 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste