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CHL Cile - Tercera · Partita ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa52%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
52% / 25% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Aguara win (22.9%)Doppia Chance1X77.1%1.30
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNaval Talcahuano winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval Talcahuano win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Club Aguara win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Casa share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano vinta 52%,Pareggio 25%,Club Aguara vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra