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CHL Chile - Tercera División · Partida ·

Naval de Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa52%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval de TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
52% / 25% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Aguara win (22.9%)Dupla Chance1X77.1%1.30
Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%Goals 2.5Acima56%1.79
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNaval de Talcahuano winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval de Talcahuano win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Club Aguara win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval de Talcahuano1.64

Mandante share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Visitante share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Naval de Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval de TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval de Talcahuano signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Naval de Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval de Talcahuano ganhou 52%,Empate 25%,Club Aguara ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Acima 2.5 56% · Current selection Acima