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CHL Chili - Tercera · Wedstrijd ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 25% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Aguara win (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1X77.1%1.30
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNaval Talcahuano winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval Talcahuano win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Club Aguara win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Uit share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 25%,Club Aguara gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven