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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

Сармиенто де Резистенция vs Атлетико Эскобар ФК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сармиенто де РезистенцияАтлетико Эскобар ФК
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 31% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетико Эскобар ФК win (29.7%)Двойной шанс1X70.3%1.42
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.61 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapАтлетико Эскобар ФК winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сармиенто де Резистенция win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Атлетико Эскобар ФК win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сармиенто де Резистенция1.25

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Атлетико Эскобар ФК1.36

Гости share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сармиенто де Резистенция

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетико Эскобар ФК

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
1.36
Сармиенто де РезистенцияАтлетико Эскобар ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сармиенто де Резистенция signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетико Эскобар ФК signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Сармиенто де Резистенция vs Атлетико Эскобар ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сармиенто де Резистенция выигрыш 39%,Ничья 31%,Атлетико Эскобар ФК выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше