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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев61%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasДефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
61% / 24% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас win (15%)Двойной шанс1X85%1.18
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас0.54

Гости share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasДефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas выигрыш 61%,Ничья 24%,Дефенсорес Пуэрто Вилелас выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше