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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partida ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs CA Defensores de Vilelas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa61%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante15%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasCA Defensores de Vilelas
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
61% / 24% / 15%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Defensores de Vilelas win (15%)Dupla Chance1X85%1.18
Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%Goals 2.5Abaixo60%1.67
Sim 35% · Não 65%Ambas as equipes marcamNão65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Empate24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
CA Defensores de Vilelas win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Mandante share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%

CA Defensores de Vilelas0.54

Visitante share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 35% · Não 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Defensores de Vilelas

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasCA Defensores de Vilelas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Defensores de Vilelas signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs CA Defensores de Vilelas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas ganhou 61%,Empate 24%,CA Defensores de Vilelas ganhou 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Acima 2.5 40% · Current selection Abaixo