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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger61%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
61% / 24% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (15%)Dubbelchans1X85%1.18
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Båda lagen gör målNej65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores Puerto Vilelas win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Hemma share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Defensores Puerto Vilelas0.54

Borta share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poäng4

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Puerto Vilelas signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas vunnen 61%,Oavgjort 24%,Defensores Puerto Vilelas vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under