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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

CA Costa Brava vs Germinal de Rawson

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–01.48 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger54%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger54% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Costa BravaGerminal de Rawson
Expected goals1.48Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under81% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
54% / 28% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Germinal de Rawson win (17.7%)Dubbelchans1X82.3%1.22
Över 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Ja 24% · Nej 76%Båda lagen gör målNej76%1.32
1.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–0
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapCA Costa Brava winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Costa Brava win54%1.851.6554.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Germinal de Rawson win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Costa Brava1.03

Hemma share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals1.48Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 19% · Under 81%

Germinal de Rawson0.45

Borta share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 24% · Nej 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CA Costa Brava

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Germinal de Rawson

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.03
Expected goals
0.45
CA Costa BravaGerminal de Rawson
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Costa Brava signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Germinal de Rawson signalBorta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CA Costa Brava vs Germinal de Rawson FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–0 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Costa Brava vunnen 54%,Oavgjort 28%,Germinal de Rawson vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.48 · Över 2.5 19% · Current selection Under