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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

CA Costa Brava vs Germinal de Rawson

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw28%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Costa BravaGerminal de Rawson
Expected goals1.48Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 28% / 18%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Germinal de Rawson win (17.7%)Double chance1X82.3%1.22
Over 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Yes 24% · No 76%Both teams scoreNo76%1.32
1.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapCA Costa Brava winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Costa Brava win54%1.851.6554.2%-0.2 pp
Draw28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Germinal de Rawson win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Costa Brava1.03

Home share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals1.48Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 19% · Under 81%

Germinal de Rawson0.45

Away share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 24% · No 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA Costa Brava

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Germinal de Rawson

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.03
Expected goals
0.45
CA Costa BravaGerminal de Rawson
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Costa Brava signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Germinal de Rawson signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CA Costa Brava vs Germinal de Rawson FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Costa Brava win 54%,Draw 28%,Germinal de Rawson win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.48 · Over 2.5 19% · Current selection Under