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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw30%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 30% / 25%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Rincon win (25.4%)Double chance1X74.6%1.34
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.18 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapDeportivo Rincon winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sol de Mayo win44%2.272.0543.3%+0.7 pp
Draw30%3.332.9030.6%-0.6 pp
Deportivo Rincon win25%4.003.4026.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de Mayo1.46

Home share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Deportivo Rincon0.72

Away share of expected goals 33%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sol de Mayo

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Rincon

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
0.72
Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de Mayo signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Rincon signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de Mayo win 44%,Draw 30%,Deportivo Rincon win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under