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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partita ·

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite25%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 30% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Rincon win (25.4%)Doppia Chance1X74.6%1.34
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.18 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapDeportivo Rincon winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sol de Mayo win44%2.272.0543.3%+0.7 pp
Pareggio30%3.332.9030.6%-0.6 pp
Deportivo Rincon win25%4.003.4026.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de Mayo1.46

Casa share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%

Deportivo Rincon0.72

Trasferta share of expected goals 33%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sol de Mayo

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Rincon

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
0.72
Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de Mayo signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Rincon signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de Mayo vinta 44%,Pareggio 30%,Deportivo Rincon vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto