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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Club Circulo Deportivo vs Guillermo Brown

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw33%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Circulo DeportivoGuillermo Brown
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 33% / 28%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guillermo Brown win (28.1%)Double chance1X71.9%1.39
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapClub Circulo Deportivo winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Circulo Deportivo win39%2.562.2539.4%-0.4 pp
Draw33%3.032.7032.9%+0.1 pp
Guillermo Brown win28%3.573.2027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Circulo Deportivo1.08

Home share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Guillermo Brown1.03

Away share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Circulo Deportivo

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Guillermo Brown

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
1.03
Club Circulo DeportivoGuillermo Brown
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Circulo Deportivo signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guillermo Brown signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Club Circulo Deportivo vs Guillermo Brown FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Circulo Deportivo win 39%,Draw 33%,Guillermo Brown win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under