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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partido ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local61%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante15%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
61% / 24% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (15%)Doble Oportunidad1X85%1.18
Más de 40% · Menos de 60%Goals 2.5Menos de60%1.67
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Empate24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores Puerto Vilelas win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Local share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 40% · Menos de 60%

Defensores Puerto Vilelas0.54

Visitante share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puntos4

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Puerto Vilelas signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas ganada 61%,Empate 24%,Defensores Puerto Vilelas ganada 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Más de 2.5 40% · Current selection Menos de