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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Meci ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde61%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
61% / 24% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (15%)Șansă dublă1X85%1.18
Peste 40% · Sub 60%Goals 2.5Sub60%1.67
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Egal24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores Puerto Vilelas win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Gazde share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 40% · Sub 60%

Defensores Puerto Vilelas0.54

Oaspeți share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Puerto Vilelas signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas câștig 61%,Egal 24%,Defensores Puerto Vilelas câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Peste 2.5 40% · Current selection Sub