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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Kamp ·

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr61%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr15%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
61% / 24% / 15%KampresultatHjemmesejr61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (15%)Dobbeltchance1X85%1.18
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Begge hold scorerNej65%1.54
2.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win61%1.641.4859.9%+1.1 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.6024.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores Puerto Vilelas win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Las Parejas1.76

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Defensores Puerto Vilelas0.54

Ude share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sportivo Las Parejas

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vundet probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
0.54
Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Las Parejas signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores Puerto Vilelas signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Las Parejas vundet 61%,Uafgjort 24%,Defensores Puerto Vilelas vundet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under