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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

СА Бартоломе Митра vs СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–0СА Бартоломе МитраСА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше91% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 33% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда win (23.6%)Двойной шанс1X76.4%1.31
Больше 9% · Меньше 91%Goals 2.5Меньше91%1.10
Да 14% · Нет 86%Обе забьютНет86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–0
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СА Бартоломе Митра win44%2.272.0543.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья33%3.032.8031.8%+1.2 pp
СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда win24%4.173.6024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СА Бартоломе Митра0.77

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 9% · Меньше 91%

СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда0.29

Гости share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 14% · Нет 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СА Бартоломе Митра

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
СА Бартоломе МитраСА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СА Бартоломе Митра signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

СА Бартоломе Митра vs СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–0 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СА Бартоломе Митра выигрыш 44%,Ничья 33%,СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · ТБ 2.5 9% · Current selection Меньше