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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Maç ·

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır41%
Beraberlik41%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt91% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
41% / 41% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (17.9%)Çifte Şans1X82.1%1.22
Üst 9% · Alt 91%Goals 2.5Alt91%1.10
Evet 14% · Hayır 86%Karşılıklı gol varHayır86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–0
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
CA Bartolome Mitre win41%2.44
Beraberlik41%2.44
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Bartolome Mitre0.77

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 9% · Alt 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.29

Deplasman share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitEvet 14% · Hayır 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

CA Bartolome Mitre

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Bartolome Mitre signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 41%.

Match questions

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Bartolome Mitre kazanç 41%,Beraberlik 41%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · 2.5 Üst 9% · Current selection Alt