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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partita ·

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio33%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto91% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 33% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (23.6%)Doppia Chance1X76.4%1.31
Sopra 9% · Sotto 91%Goals 2.5Sotto91%1.10
Sì 14% · No 86%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Bartolome Mitre win44%2.272.0543.4%+0.6 pp
Pareggio33%3.032.8031.8%+1.2 pp
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win24%4.173.6024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Bartolome Mitre0.77

Casa share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 9% · Sotto 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 14% · No 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CA Bartolome Mitre

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Bartolome Mitre signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–0 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Bartolome Mitre vinta 44%,Pareggio 33%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Sopra 2.5 9% · Current selection Sotto