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ARG 阿根廷全國甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝44%
33%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝44% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.591% for the selected side
雙方進球86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
44% / 33% / 24%比賽結果主勝44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (23.6%)雙重機會1X76.4%1.31
大 9% · 小 91%Goals 2.591%1.10
是 14% · 否 86%雙方進球86%1.16
1.06 total expected goals正確比分1–0
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 win44%2.272.0543.4%+0.6 pp
33%3.032.8031.8%+1.2 pp
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win24%4.173.6024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷0.77

主隊 share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 9% · 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.29

客隊 share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 14% · 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–0 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 44%, 33%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · 大2.5 9% · Current selection