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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partida ·

CA Bartolomé Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa41%
Empate41%
Vitória visitante18%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Bartolomé MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo91% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
41% / 41% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (17.9%)Dupla Chance1X82.1%1.22
Acima 9% · Abaixo 91%Goals 2.5Abaixo91%1.10
Sim 14% · Não 86%Ambas as equipes marcamNão86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–0
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
CA Bartolomé Mitre win41%2.44
Empate41%2.44
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Bartolomé Mitre0.77

Mandante share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 9% · Abaixo 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.29

Visitante share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitSim 14% · Não 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CA Bartolomé Mitre

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
CA Bartolomé MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Bartolomé Mitre signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 41%.

Match questions

CA Bartolomé Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Bartolomé Mitre ganhou 41%,Empate 41%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Acima 2.5 9% · Current selection Abaixo