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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Бартоломе Митре vs Сармиенто де ла Банда

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен33%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–0Бартоломе МитреСармиенто де ла Банда
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под91% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 33% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сармиенто де ла Банда win (23.6%)Двоен шанс1X76.4%1.31
Над 9% · Под 91%Goals 2.5Под91%1.10
Да 14% · Не 86%И двата отбора да отбележатНе86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–0
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бартоломе Митре win44%2.272.0543.4%+0.6 pp
Равен33%3.032.8031.8%+1.2 pp
Сармиенто де ла Банда win24%4.173.6024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бартоломе Митре0.77

Домакин share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 9% · Под 91%

Сармиенто де ла Банда0.29

Гост share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 14% · Не 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бартоломе Митре

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сармиенто де ла Банда

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.29
Бартоломе МитреСармиенто де ла Банда
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бартоломе Митре signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сармиенто де ла Банда signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Бартоломе Митре vs Сармиенто де ла Банда FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–0 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бартоломе Митре печеливш 44%,Равен 33%,Сармиенто де ла Банда печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Над 2.5 9% · Current selection Под