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ARG アルゼンチン トルネオA · 試合 ·

サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア vs アトレティコ・エスコバルFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1サルミエント・デ・レシステンシアアトレティコ・エスコバルFC
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 31% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アトレティコ・エスコバルFC win (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1X70.3%1.42
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.61 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapアトレティコ・エスコバルFC winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
アトレティコ・エスコバルFC win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア1.25

ホーム share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

アトレティコ・エスコバルFC1.36

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・エスコバルFC

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
1.36
サルミエント・デ・レシステンシアアトレティコ・エスコバルFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・エスコバルFC signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア vs アトレティコ・エスコバルFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サルミエント・デ・レシステンシア 勝ち 39%,引き分け 31%,アトレティコ・エスコバルFC 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー