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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Сармиенто де Резистенция vs Атлетико Ескобар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен31%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сармиенто де РезистенцияАтлетико Ескобар
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 31% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетико Ескобар win (29.8%)Двоен шанс1X70.2%1.42
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapАтлетико Ескобар winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сармиенто де Резистенция win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Равен31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Атлетико Ескобар win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сармиенто де Резистенция1.23

Домакин share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Атлетико Ескобар1.40

Гост share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сармиенто де Резистенция

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Атлетико Ескобар

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.40
Сармиенто де РезистенцияАтлетико Ескобар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сармиенто де Резистенция signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетико Ескобар signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Сармиенто де Резистенция vs Атлетико Ескобар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сармиенто де Резистенция печеливш 39%,Равен 31%,Атлетико Ескобар печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под