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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partida ·

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 31% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Escobar win (29.7%)Dupla Chance1X70.3%1.42
Acima 49% · Abaixo 51%Goals 2.5Abaixo51%1.96
Sim 54% · Não 46%Ambas as equipes marcamSim54%1.85
2.61 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Escobar winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarmiento de Resistencia win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Empate31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Atlético Escobar win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarmiento de Resistencia1.25

Mandante share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 49% · Abaixo 51%

Atlético Escobar1.36

Visitante share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 54% · Não 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sarmiento de Resistencia

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético Escobar

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
1.36
Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarmiento de Resistencia signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Escobar signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarmiento de Resistencia ganhou 39%,Empate 31%,Atlético Escobar ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Acima 2.5 49% · Current selection Abaixo