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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Spiel ·

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar FC
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 31% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Escobar FC win (29.7%)Doppelte Chance1X70.3%1.42
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.61 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Escobar FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarmiento de Resistencia win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Unentschieden31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Atlético Escobar FC win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarmiento de Resistencia1.25

Heim share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Atlético Escobar FC1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sarmiento de Resistencia

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atlético Escobar FC

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
1.36
Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarmiento de Resistencia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Escobar FC signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarmiento de Resistencia Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 31%,Atlético Escobar FC Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter