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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Spiel ·

Santamarina Tandil vs San Martin de Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.61 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santamarina TandilSan Martin de Mendoza
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter78% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 33% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin de Mendoza win (27%)Doppelte Chance1X73%1.37
Über 22% · Unter 78%Goals 2.5Unter78%1.28
Ja 30% · Nein 70%Beide Teams treffenNein70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santamarina Tandil win40%2.502.2040.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden33%3.032.7532.3%+0.7 pp
San Martin de Mendoza win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santamarina Tandil0.95

Heim share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 22% · Unter 78%

San Martin de Mendoza0.66

Auswärts share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nein 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Santamarina Tandil

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

San Martin de Mendoza

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.95
Expected goals
0.66
Santamarina TandilSan Martin de Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santamarina Tandil signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin de Mendoza signalHeim failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Santamarina Tandil vs San Martin de Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santamarina Tandil Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 33%,San Martin de Mendoza Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Über 2.5 22% · Current selection Unter