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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

Santamarina Tandil vs San Martin de Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.61 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santamarina TandilSan Martin de Mendoza
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше78% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 33% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin de Mendoza win (27%)Двойной шанс1X73%1.37
Больше 22% · Меньше 78%Goals 2.5Меньше78%1.28
Да 30% · Нет 70%Обе забьютНет70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santamarina Tandil win40%2.502.2040.4%-0.4 pp
Ничья33%3.032.7532.3%+0.7 pp
San Martin de Mendoza win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santamarina Tandil0.95

Хозяева share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 22% · Меньше 78%

San Martin de Mendoza0.66

Гости share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 30% · Нет 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Santamarina Tandil

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

San Martin de Mendoza

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.95
Expected goals
0.66
Santamarina TandilSan Martin de Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santamarina Tandil signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin de Mendoza signalХозяева failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Santamarina Tandil vs San Martin de Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santamarina Tandil выигрыш 40%,Ничья 33%,San Martin de Mendoza выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · ТБ 2.5 22% · Current selection Меньше