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ARG アルゼンチン トルネオA · 試合 ·

サンタマリーナ・タンディル vs サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.61 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1サンタマリーナ・タンディルサン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー78% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 33% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ win (27%)ダブルチャンス1X73%1.37
オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%Goals 2.5アンダー78%1.28
はい 30% · いいえ 70%両チーム得点いいえ70%1.43
1.61 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
サンタマリーナ・タンディル win40%2.502.2040.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け33%3.032.7532.3%+0.7 pp
サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サンタマリーナ・タンディル0.95

ホーム share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%

サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ0.66

アウェイ share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 30% · いいえ 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サンタマリーナ・タンディル

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.95
Expected goals
0.66
サンタマリーナ・タンディルサン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サンタマリーナ・タンディル signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ signalホーム failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

サンタマリーナ・タンディル vs サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サンタマリーナ・タンディル 勝ち 40%,引き分け 33%,サン・マルティン・デ・メンドーサ 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · オーバー 2.5 22% · Current selection アンダー