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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partido ·

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar FC
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 31% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Escobar FC win (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X70.3%1.42
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 54% · No 46%Ambos equipos marcan54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Escobar FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarmiento de Resistencia win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp
Empate31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Atlético Escobar FC win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarmiento de Resistencia1.25

Local share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

Atlético Escobar FC1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sarmiento de Resistencia

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético Escobar FC

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
1.37
Sarmiento de ResistenciaAtlético Escobar FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarmiento de Resistencia signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Escobar FC signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Atlético Escobar FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarmiento de Resistencia ganada 39%,Empate 31%,Atlético Escobar FC ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de