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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Матч ·

Мирасол U20 vs Итапиренсе U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–24.40 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Мирасол U20Итапиренсе U20
Expected goals4.40Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше82% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 24% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Итапиренсе U20 win (22.9%)Двойной шанс1X77.1%1.30
Больше 82% · Меньше 18%Goals 2.5Больше82%1.22
Да 78% · Нет 22%Обе забьютДа78%1.28
4.40 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–2
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мирасол U20 win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Итапиренсе U20 win23%4.354.0022.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мирасол U202.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals4.40Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 82% · Меньше 18%

Итапиренсе U201.83

Гости share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitДа 78% · Нет 22%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мирасол U20

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Итапиренсе U20

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.57
Expected goals
1.83
Мирасол U20Итапиренсе U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мирасол U20 signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Итапиренсе U20 signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Мирасол U20 vs Итапиренсе U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мирасол U20 выигрыш 53%,Ничья 24%,Итапиренсе U20 выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.40 · ТБ 2.5 82% · Current selection Больше