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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partita ·

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–24.41 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Expected goals4.41Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra82% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 24% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (21.4%)Doppia Chance1X78.6%1.27
Sopra 82% · Sotto 18%Goals 2.5Sopra82%1.22
Sì 78% · No 22%Entrambe le squadre segnano78%1.28
4.41 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win55%1.821.6554.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Itapirense U20 win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol U202.58

Casa share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals4.41Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 82% · Sotto 18%

Itapirense U201.83

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 78% · No 22%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Itapirense U20

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.58
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol U20 signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense U20 signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol U20 vinta 55%,Pareggio 24%,Itapirense U20 vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Sopra 2.5 82% · Current selection Sopra