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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Spiel ·

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–24.41 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Expected goals4.41Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über82% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 24% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (21.4%)Doppelte Chance1X78.6%1.27
Über 82% · Unter 18%Goals 2.5Über82%1.22
Ja 78% · Nein 22%Beide Teams treffenJa78%1.28
4.41 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win55%1.821.6554.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Itapirense U20 win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol U202.58

Heim share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals4.41Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 82% · Unter 18%

Itapirense U201.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 78% · Nein 22%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkte4

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Itapirense U20

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.58
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol U20 signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense U20 signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol U20 Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 24%,Itapirense U20 Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Über 2.5 82% · Current selection Über