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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Trận đấu ·

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–24.40 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng53%
Hòa24%
Đội khách thắng23%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Expected goals4.40Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài82% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
53% / 24% / 23%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (22.9%)Cơ hội kép1X77.1%1.30
Tài 82% · Xỉu 18%Goals 2.5Tài82%1.22
Có 78% · Không 22%Cả hai đội ghi bàn78%1.28
4.40 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–2
8.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp
Hòa24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Itapirense U20 win23%4.354.0022.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol U202.57

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals4.40Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 82% · Xỉu 18%

Itapirense U201.83

Khách share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 78% · Không 22%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Itapirense U20

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Thắng probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.57
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol U20 signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense U20 signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol U20 thắng 53%,Hòa 24%,Itapirense U20 thắng 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.40 · Tài 2.5 82% · Current selection Tài