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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Match ·

Mirassol - U20 vs Itapirense - U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–24.40 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol - U20Itapirense - U20
Expected goals4.40Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de82% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 24% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense - U20 win (22.9%)Double chance1X77.1%1.30
Plus de 82% · Moins de 18%Goals 2.5Plus de82%1.22
Oui 78% · Non 22%Les deux équipes marquentOui78%1.28
4.40 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol - U20 win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp
Nul24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Itapirense - U20 win23%4.354.0022.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol - U202.57

Domicile share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals4.40Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 82% · Moins de 18%

Itapirense - U201.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 78% · Non 22%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mirassol - U20

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Itapirense - U20

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.57
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol - U20Itapirense - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol - U20 signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense - U20 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol - U20 vs Itapirense - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol - U20 victoire 53%,Nul 24%,Itapirense - U20 victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.40 · Plus de 2.5 82% · Current selection Plus de