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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Match ·

Audax SP - U20 vs Referencia FC - U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax SP - U20Referencia FC - U20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 24% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Referencia FC - U20 win (19.6%)Double chance1X80.4%1.24
Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%Goals 2.5Moins de63%1.59
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapAudax SP - U20 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax SP - U20 win56%1.791.5756.4%-0.4 pp
Nul24%4.173.7023.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC - U20 win20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax SP - U201.42

Domicile share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%

Referencia FC - U200.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Audax SP - U20

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Referencia FC - U20

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax SP - U20Referencia FC - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax SP - U20 signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC - U20 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Audax SP - U20 vs Referencia FC - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax SP - U20 victoire 56%,Nul 24%,Referencia FC - U20 victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Plus de 2.5 37% · Current selection Moins de