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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Meci ·

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde56%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde56% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
56% / 24% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Referencia FC U20 win (19.6%)Șansă dublă1X80.4%1.24
Peste 37% · Sub 63%Goals 2.5Sub63%1.59
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapAudax SP U20 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax SP U20 win56%1.791.5756.4%-0.4 pp
Egal24%4.173.7023.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC U20 win20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax SP U201.42

Gazde share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 37% · Sub 63%

Referencia FC U200.74

Oaspeți share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Audax SP U20

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Referencia FC U20

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax SP U20 signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC U20 signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax SP U20 câștig 56%,Egal 24%,Referencia FC U20 câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Peste 2.5 37% · Current selection Sub